'Iranians have no problem lying': Israeli expert on Tehran's nuclear program says amid coming deal

What Happened

Avner Vilan, a former senior Israeli security official and Iran nuclear expert, commented on a draft agreement between the US and Iran, reportedly published by Iranian sources, which states Iran will completely stop enrichment. Vilan, who had not seen the final text, cautioned that the deal lacks oversight mechanisms and that 'the Iranians have no problem lying.' He outlined that under the draft, Iran would receive immediate sanctions relief, including the lifting of oil export bans and opening of the Strait of Hormuz, while critical issues such as nuclear supervision, missiles, proxies, and regime change are not addressed. Vilan warned that without verification, Iran could continue covert nuclear advances, and the agreement depends on trusting Iranian commitments.

Key Actors

Why It Matters

The remarks underscore Israeli security establishment doubts about the verifiability of any nuclear accord with Iran, suggesting a deal could provide economic relief without effectively constraining Iran's weapons development. This skepticism may intensify Israeli-Iranian tensions and complicate regional stability if a final agreement lacks robust oversight, potentially enabling a covert nuclear breakout.

Watch For

Publication of a finalized US-Iran nuclear agreement, particularly its verification and enrichment provisions; IAEA reports on Iranian compliance; Israeli government reactions and any military or diplomatic countermeasures; signs of covert Iranian enrichment activities at undisclosed sites.