Iran unlikely to ever willingly surrender control over Strait of Hormuz, INSS expert claims

What Happened

Dr. Raz Zimmt, head of the Iran program at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), told 103FM that Iran is unlikely to ever willingly surrender control over the Strait of Hormuz, which it views as its most significant strategic achievement. He claimed that the United States might be prepared to recognize a change in the status quo in the strait, potentially allowing Iran to impose fees such as service or environmental charges. Zimmt stated that in recent weeks negotiations have been conducted via Oman over arrangements to reopen the strait, with Iran insisting on the release of frozen assets, easing of oil export sanctions, and lifting of a naval blockade—demands it says were part of a prior memorandum of understanding that the US allegedly violated.

Key Actors

Why It Matters

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil transit; Iranian control or the legitimization of fees could significantly impact energy markets and give Tehran long-term strategic leverage. The reported negotiations and potential US concessions signal a shift in the 'maximum pressure' approach and may affect the broader nuclear standoff and regional proxy dynamics.

Watch For

Monitor Oman-mediated talks for any formal agreement on strait access, US statements on sanctions or naval presence, Iranian reactions to IAEA censures or nuclear deadlines, and any incident in the Strait of Hormuz that could derail diplomatic efforts.