The Guardian Middle East
leftLIVE UPDATENewly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets

Customers make hundreds of thousands of dollars as records show substantial bets made before announcementA group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the US and Iran would reach a ceasefire on Tuesday, resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers. These bets were made even though, in the hours before a two-week ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, Donald Trump’s rhetoric had escalated sharply and t
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CONFLICT OVERVIEW
Iran
Internal political tensions, regional proxy conflicts, and international standoffs regarding Iran's nuclear program and geopolitical influence.
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